4.50 Lingfield

The above race is not the typical race I would get involved with but after close consideration I feel that there are enough reasons for getting involved with one for minimum stakes.

The horse in question is:

SRI KUANTAN (7/1 generally, 8/1 with PP has now gone) - 1PT WIN

The reasons behind the bet are that the horse has got an excellent record over C & D, indeed its figures over 10F at Lingfield read 2,1,1,6 with both wins being gained off marks just one pound lower than todays. The horse has been campaigned over different courses and distances (I suspect Southwell is not its track) and the handicap mark has now returned close to a winning one. The connections have also put the tongue tie back on, which was worn on its previous wins and they have secured a good jockey booking in Amy Ryan (strike rate this year is 27%). The favourite has to be respected given the rich vein of form it is in but on a line of form from last year there is very little between this and the selection and at the prices (4/5 & 7/1) it is a no brainer really. The other horse which initially caught my eye was Kings Topic as it may get an easy lead however under todays conditions I believe the selection offers a better value bet. The others make little appeal as they are either weighted up to their best, or out of form and probably not good enough.

This bet is obviously a little speculative, hence the minimum stakes, but I had this in at about 5/1 and at the prices available feel that there is sufficient value to get involved with it.