Todays racing is the typical Tuesday midweek stuff that we have come to expect over the last few years with mainly uninspiring horses running at the holiday resorts!!!!
I was quite keen on one running in the 4.45 at Beverley today but there appears to have been a few quid for this one already this morning and at the current price I can't get involved. The horse in question is Danehillsundance and it is a horse that has been steadily creeping down the weights but definitely showed a bit more sparkle last time over a trip longer than ideal and it is sure to return to the winners circle before too long. A stiff 8f on fast ground looks ideal for it and in a race where there are doubts about several of its rivals (ground, handicap mark) I thought that it was the most likely winner. Happy to swerve the race now the best prices have gone but definitely worth keeping an eye on.
Over at Southwell this evening I thought Echo Dancer could go well in the 8.40 now that it is returned to the C & D of its only previous win (admittedly that was in a weak maiden event) however the trainer has an outstanding record at the course and is always one to keep on the right side of. At 9/1 this is arguably worth a small trade but I'm not going to get heavily involved as there are one or two others in the field open to any amount of improvement and therefore a watching brief I'm afraid.
I'll be back on here tomorrow with my thoughts all being well.
Gags
Tuesday, 14 July 2009
Monday, 13 July 2009
What Does The Future Hold?
Following Mick's decision to take a break from the blog for the foreseeable future I have been questioning whether to continue with things...I have given it consideration but I believe that the hard work and effort that we have put into things over the last few months would be wasted if I was to bring the curtain down just yet....As we have explained on here on many occasions it's not getting any easier to find the time to post the selections and analysis on the blog however as I will still be looking at the form each night it would seem silly to completely close things down. I have spoken to Mick and he is prepared to continue putting the messages on the phone, although these may not be as frequent as they currently are (especially when he is away on holiday). If I am having a bet I will post it on here and send the email (when possible) but the analysis may be lacking any real depth depending on the time factor.
I would like to thank everybody who has followed the blog over the last few months and hope they will continue to do so and hopefully we will start to see some results that justify the hard work and effort that has gone into providing this information.
On behalf of Mick I would like to thank all the well wishers and i'm sure it won't be long before he is back up to full speed.
All the best
Gags
I would like to thank everybody who has followed the blog over the last few months and hope they will continue to do so and hopefully we will start to see some results that justify the hard work and effort that has gone into providing this information.
On behalf of Mick I would like to thank all the well wishers and i'm sure it won't be long before he is back up to full speed.
All the best
Gags
Sunday, 12 July 2009
Always Look On The Bright Side...........
This last week has possibly been one of the worst I have had the misfortune to suffer in my life.
Sadly my mum passed away recently and her funeral was on Wednesday. She was a wonderful lady and we will all miss her very much. We turned her funeral into a celebration of her life as that was what she wanted. As if that wasn't hard enough to deal with, my brother's mother-in-law also passed away recently and her funeral was on Thursday. Obviously it has been a tough time for all of us on a personal level.
Professionally things don't look too great either with news coming on Thursday that up to half of the workforce will probably be made redundant in about 30 days time. Whilst this news hasn't totally surprised me it has come at a tough time and I could have done without it. I believe we will all find out in the next week or so whether our services will be required in future or if we need to find alternative ways of earning a living. I won't dwell too much on either the personal losses or the difficulties at work because that's not what the blog is supposed to be about.
So last of all we have the punting. Well yesterday was a real kick in the teeth. I picked out a couple I felt were worth backing in what time I had to study form. One ran well enough and one ran a shocker, but the real nightmare was in seeing three horses we backed last time out all win yesterday, all in similar races. Aqlaam 15/8 at Ascot, Hits Only Vic 16/1 at York and West End Lad 9/1 at Nottingham ran yesterday how we'd hoped and liked to have seen them run the time before. It just shows how fine the line is between success and failure and I guess when when things aren't going your way then this is what happens.
We will be taking a family holiday at some stage in the near future. My dad could do with a break, indeed I think we all could. Until I come back from that break I won't be putting up any more bets or posts on here. If Gags wishes to continue with things while I am away then that's fine by me, but I need to think about things a little. When I do return it may well be the case that I need to make my living from punting and if I'm going to make that work then I need to get back to to what I do best and what has always worked and made money for me. During the last few weeks there have been far too many speculative bets and that's not how I like betting or how I will be betting in future. I will be getting back to basics, much more along the lines of how things were at the start of the year.
As I've already said Gags may well continue with things while I take a break. I will speak with him later and ask him to post just so everything is clear.
For now, from me, good luck and stay healthy.
Sadly my mum passed away recently and her funeral was on Wednesday. She was a wonderful lady and we will all miss her very much. We turned her funeral into a celebration of her life as that was what she wanted. As if that wasn't hard enough to deal with, my brother's mother-in-law also passed away recently and her funeral was on Thursday. Obviously it has been a tough time for all of us on a personal level.
Professionally things don't look too great either with news coming on Thursday that up to half of the workforce will probably be made redundant in about 30 days time. Whilst this news hasn't totally surprised me it has come at a tough time and I could have done without it. I believe we will all find out in the next week or so whether our services will be required in future or if we need to find alternative ways of earning a living. I won't dwell too much on either the personal losses or the difficulties at work because that's not what the blog is supposed to be about.
So last of all we have the punting. Well yesterday was a real kick in the teeth. I picked out a couple I felt were worth backing in what time I had to study form. One ran well enough and one ran a shocker, but the real nightmare was in seeing three horses we backed last time out all win yesterday, all in similar races. Aqlaam 15/8 at Ascot, Hits Only Vic 16/1 at York and West End Lad 9/1 at Nottingham ran yesterday how we'd hoped and liked to have seen them run the time before. It just shows how fine the line is between success and failure and I guess when when things aren't going your way then this is what happens.
We will be taking a family holiday at some stage in the near future. My dad could do with a break, indeed I think we all could. Until I come back from that break I won't be putting up any more bets or posts on here. If Gags wishes to continue with things while I am away then that's fine by me, but I need to think about things a little. When I do return it may well be the case that I need to make my living from punting and if I'm going to make that work then I need to get back to to what I do best and what has always worked and made money for me. During the last few weeks there have been far too many speculative bets and that's not how I like betting or how I will be betting in future. I will be getting back to basics, much more along the lines of how things were at the start of the year.
As I've already said Gags may well continue with things while I take a break. I will speak with him later and ask him to post just so everything is clear.
For now, from me, good luck and stay healthy.
Saturday, 11 July 2009
Saturday 11th July - Two Bets
Gags is out today and has not had the opportunity to look at any of the racing on offer so I warn you in advance that the bets posted here are entirely my own work. Only time will tell if I've made the right decisions but I can assure you I've had decent bets on both horses. Hopefully the time and effort I've put in will be rewarded and they'll run well and generate a profit.
My first bet runs in the sprint due off at 330 at Chester. If you can forgive my selection his last run when he missed the break somewhat then I think
330 Chester HOH HOH HOH 1 point each way at 8/1 (incl Bet 365, BOG)
has as good a chance as the favourite which is priced up as short as 6/4. In his previous race he ran well in a listed event at Haydock and before that he finished in front of today's jolly in a Group 3 event at Newmarket. The horse has run well at this venue before and has a decent draw today. His trainer is in pretty good form with 4 wins and 7 places from his last 23 runners during the last month or so. In simple terms I just think the horse is overpriced and I had to get involved at the prices. Obvioulsy I can't guarantee the horse will run to form, no-one can, but if he does well I think he must go close.
Over at York the Listed Race for stayers has the Sir Michael Stoute trained Warringhah at the front of the market, but the one for me is
345 York FRISTON FOREST 2 points each way at 9/2 (Lads, Corals and Hills)
who is proven in the conditions, at the trip and in this class of event. I make him the most likely winner and with question marks over some of his rivals with regards to the distance and / or underfoot conditions I will be very disappointed if he doesn't at least make the frame.
Nothing is certain in horseracing but if my selections run up to their best then I believe they'll both go close. Let's hope they run to form and enjoy that little bit of luck that all winners can do with from time to time.
Good luck if you are getting involved today.
My first bet runs in the sprint due off at 330 at Chester. If you can forgive my selection his last run when he missed the break somewhat then I think
330 Chester HOH HOH HOH 1 point each way at 8/1 (incl Bet 365, BOG)
has as good a chance as the favourite which is priced up as short as 6/4. In his previous race he ran well in a listed event at Haydock and before that he finished in front of today's jolly in a Group 3 event at Newmarket. The horse has run well at this venue before and has a decent draw today. His trainer is in pretty good form with 4 wins and 7 places from his last 23 runners during the last month or so. In simple terms I just think the horse is overpriced and I had to get involved at the prices. Obvioulsy I can't guarantee the horse will run to form, no-one can, but if he does well I think he must go close.
Over at York the Listed Race for stayers has the Sir Michael Stoute trained Warringhah at the front of the market, but the one for me is
345 York FRISTON FOREST 2 points each way at 9/2 (Lads, Corals and Hills)
who is proven in the conditions, at the trip and in this class of event. I make him the most likely winner and with question marks over some of his rivals with regards to the distance and / or underfoot conditions I will be very disappointed if he doesn't at least make the frame.
Nothing is certain in horseracing but if my selections run up to their best then I believe they'll both go close. Let's hope they run to form and enjoy that little bit of luck that all winners can do with from time to time.
Good luck if you are getting involved today.
Monday, 6 July 2009
A Couple We Will Be Trading......
There was nothing strong enough for the account today but we will probably be getting involved trading a couple at Ripon this evening. In the 8.20 we think Tagula Breeze is overpriced at around 16/1 and can't understand why there is such a discrepancy between this one and The Kyllachy Kid on a line through White Shift. It does look a fairly competitive race however and not one for big stakes.
In the 8.50 we think that Regal Lyric could run better than the 20/1 which is currently available with one of the big firms and it would be no surprise to see this one trade a lot shorter in running. Tate and Fenton have a fantastic course record and any of their horses are worth noting at Ripon. The form figures don't overly inspire but if you go far enough back it has got some decent pieces of form in the book which could see it fairly treated off a mark of 67 tonight. Once again it is far too speculative for an account bet but certainly worth a small stakes trade.
As usual all information is being given out daily on the usual standard mobile number 07807 462697 and the blog/texts/emails will be sent out as and when the opportunites arise.
Good Luck!
In the 8.50 we think that Regal Lyric could run better than the 20/1 which is currently available with one of the big firms and it would be no surprise to see this one trade a lot shorter in running. Tate and Fenton have a fantastic course record and any of their horses are worth noting at Ripon. The form figures don't overly inspire but if you go far enough back it has got some decent pieces of form in the book which could see it fairly treated off a mark of 67 tonight. Once again it is far too speculative for an account bet but certainly worth a small stakes trade.
As usual all information is being given out daily on the usual standard mobile number 07807 462697 and the blog/texts/emails will be sent out as and when the opportunites arise.
Good Luck!
Saturday, 4 July 2009
No Emails Or Texts Today But..............
Unfortunately I will not be in a position to send out any emails later today. There is also a chance that Mick might not be able to send out any text messages. As a result any bets we are having today will be highlighted on a message which can be accessed by calling the number highlighted on the right hand side of the blog. This is a standard UK mobile number so anyone with a bundle of free minutes attached to their mobile will be able to call and access our views free of charge. To save you all one call there is no bet this afternoon but there may well be something this evening so a call at 6.30pm or shortly afterwards is advised.
Apologies for any inconvenience but circumstances do not always allow us to operate as we would wish.
Good luck if you play today.
Apologies for any inconvenience but circumstances do not always allow us to operate as we would wish.
Good luck if you play today.
Thursday, 2 July 2009
A Busy Thursday
A busy day with plenty of decent racing on but unfortunately non-runners are playing havoc with the shape and terms on offer in some races.
We concentrated our efforts this afternoon on Haydock's card where we will be trading a couple but we have decided against putting them up as full account bets. The two races of interest are the 310 and 440.
In the 310 we cannot understand why SEA ROVER is still available at 33/1 with Stan James. This horse has form with one of the market leaders, is significantly better off at the weights for a 2 length defeat, has a record of 1 win and 2 places from 6 runs over the distance and clearly loves fast ground. Sea Rover has a decent jockey on board today and we think he could have a big chance if reverting back to a prominent running style with conditions to suit. The trainer's recent form is not great but his overall form at this venue adds to confidence that the horse could be set to run a big race. Of course there is a doubt about whether today is the day, but we think he could run a huge race and trade at a lot shorter than 33/1, allowing us to enjoy a free bet at the least. That's the plan anyway!
The last on the card looks set up for HAWRIDGE KING and TRIP THE LIGHT to run well and our preference would be for the first named who looks well treated for a return to optimum conditions with a positive jockey booking. We have two small concerns with regards to this race, firstly we've missed the boat as far as the really nice prices are concerned and secondly there are currently 8 set to go to post. Obviously one more non-runner would screw up the each way terms if not ensuring a further shortening of the horses price. Hawridge King is, though, our idea of the most likely winner.
We will be having a look at this evening's cards and any bets will be sent out and put on the message by about 6.30pm.
Good luck if you are betting this afternoon.
We concentrated our efforts this afternoon on Haydock's card where we will be trading a couple but we have decided against putting them up as full account bets. The two races of interest are the 310 and 440.
In the 310 we cannot understand why SEA ROVER is still available at 33/1 with Stan James. This horse has form with one of the market leaders, is significantly better off at the weights for a 2 length defeat, has a record of 1 win and 2 places from 6 runs over the distance and clearly loves fast ground. Sea Rover has a decent jockey on board today and we think he could have a big chance if reverting back to a prominent running style with conditions to suit. The trainer's recent form is not great but his overall form at this venue adds to confidence that the horse could be set to run a big race. Of course there is a doubt about whether today is the day, but we think he could run a huge race and trade at a lot shorter than 33/1, allowing us to enjoy a free bet at the least. That's the plan anyway!
The last on the card looks set up for HAWRIDGE KING and TRIP THE LIGHT to run well and our preference would be for the first named who looks well treated for a return to optimum conditions with a positive jockey booking. We have two small concerns with regards to this race, firstly we've missed the boat as far as the really nice prices are concerned and secondly there are currently 8 set to go to post. Obviously one more non-runner would screw up the each way terms if not ensuring a further shortening of the horses price. Hawridge King is, though, our idea of the most likely winner.
We will be having a look at this evening's cards and any bets will be sent out and put on the message by about 6.30pm.
Good luck if you are betting this afternoon.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
