Sunday 19 April 2009

A Gamble At Lingers?

We had a pretty good look through the 10 furlong Class 4 Handicap at Lingfield and we both independently came up with the same short list with two runners on it. We also both preferred the same one of the two on the list, so a possible bet then? Well unfortunately not. Two factors dictated that we refrain from betting. Firstly we cannot achieve our minimum price on our preferred selection and secondly we are concerned about how the race will be run. There are one or two in here who would be better suited by a longer trip in our opinion. Our preferred selection would definitely be suited by a strongly run race over this c and d, but we're not sure that's going to happen today. So in the end an easy decision to say "no bet today".

Below are the weekly and year to date summaries which make much better reading now than they did a week or two ago. We're both much happier with our new method of operating. The fact that we will only bet when we have both independently come up with the same selection and when that selection is available at what we believe is the right, value price will probably mean we have fewer bets. Having said that we are heading towards a busy time of year with evening as well as daytime racing, so there may be plenty of opportunities. We'll just have to see how things develop.


WEEKLY SUMMARY
2 BETS
1 WINNER (50%)
0 PLACED (0%)
PROFIT / LOSS +12.40 POINTS


YEAR TO DATE SUMMARY
70 BETS
15 WINNERS (21%)
26 PLACED (37%)
PROFIT / LOSS +52.46 POINTS



On Monday there is plenty of action for punters to go at. There are a couple of races of interest for us during the afternoon, one at Pontefract and one at Wolverhampton. Then of course we have the evening card at Windsor where there are another two races for us to consider. Gags will be back on here early tomorrow afternoon with our thoughts for Pontefract and Wolverhampton. Good luck if you are playing today.

No comments: