2 bets today so far guys:
1PT WIN - 2.35 Haydock - Festoso (available at 20/1 with Corals & Sporting Bet and 18/1 with Tote & Skybet)
2PT WIN - 3.10 Haydock- Total Gallery (available at 7/1 with Bet365 & Lads, 13/2 in places)
There will be a more in depth analysis on the blog after but we feel that these 2 are worth an interest today. Festoso has got form over longer trips than this and has also ran well in Group races before, she handles soft going and whilst it may be a case that she ultimately needs further, in the conditions today we feel that there is a massive need for stamina and at the kind of prices available she has to be worth a small bet. There are a number of potential improvers in the field but not many are proven on soft ground and most have been winning lower grade races.
Total Gallery looks a cracking bet here but unfortunately Tom Segal has highlighted it in the RP and the fancy prices have now gone. We still feel that it is overpriced at around 7/1 and the drop back to 5f for this strong traveller looks ideal. It has ran on heavy ground before and finished 2nd in a listed race so the ground should be no problem and this horse does appear to be on the upgrade. The favourite has to be respected and you can give Look Busy a chance but at the prices the selection appears to be the value call.
There is a possibility of further bets, and if there is, these will be given out in advance of the race.
There is one additional bet for us today:
2PTS Each-Way - 3.10 Curragh - Jumbajubika (available at 6/1 with Tote, Sporting Bet, Betfred & William Hill)
This race revolves around the favourite Utmost Respect who won a Group 2 race at York last week on ground considered too fast for him. Todays ground is going to be very testing and the race could turn into a war of attrition, and therefore whilst we respect the favourites chances it is giving weight away all round and is a very skinny price. The race doesn't appear to be as competitve as the betting would have you believe and in our opinion the selection brings some very strong pieces of form to the table with several Group 3 and listed wins to his name and a record of 5 wins and 2 places from 9 attempts at the Curragh. It has done most of its winning at trips of 7F and a mile but proved that it has the speed for 6F when winning a listed contest on its latest start. With the underfoot conditions as they are it will be a massive advantage that it stays further and we expect it to get out and try and grind them into submission.
Of the others, we think Snaefell is overpriced and could run well under conditions that suit, whilst the big stables horses all have it to prove in this company and under these conditions. Its hard to see the selection not being placed if it runs anywhere near to form and at the prices is a solid each way alternative to the favourite.
Good Luck
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7 comments:
WYF at posting first bet at the off the off time?!!!?
Anonymous,
We have been saying for long enough that if you want to receive all the bets in advance of racing then please drop me an email leaving your mobile number and you will be added to the distribution lists. The first text was sent this morning at 10.13am and the selection was available at 25/1 at the time as there were no non runners. The email was sent out shortly after taking the non runners into account.
Mick would normally post on the blog on a Saturday but due to the fact that he has some serious family issues to deal with it has been down to me. Without boring you with the details, I have a life and a family and on this occasion the blog has been forgotten about. I accept that this is not the ideal scenario however this is the first time that I can remember it happening and we always endeavour to ensure that it goes up well in advance of any races.
If you wish to receive all selections in advance of racing in future please leave your details on an email and we will gladly include you.
Once again I can only reiterate that this is only a blog to show how two part time punters are trying to make it pay and if we can help others make a few quid along the way then so be it!
Gags
Hi Gags,
Excellent shout with Festoso.
And your wrong with the time it was sent out as I got it at 10.12a.m. not 10.13 p.m
Anthony ;)
Yeah thanks Ant, and also for verifying that the message was sent out well in advance of racing.
Well done with your own selections this week, its been a decent profit on the account!!
Cheers
Gags
yes i received my text at 10:08.44s
thanks again Nigel Peters
Good evening Guys,
I really don't understand some people. We've said plenty of times before that we are happy to send emails and text messages out free of charge.
In any event, Gags posted the selections on here before any of the races actually started so how can anyone have a problem? If they want to have the selections earlier than that so they can obtain the best prices then they should take advantage of the free email and text service, it's as simple as that. Plenty of others are doing just that and messages are going out to Malta, Ireland and Denmark as well as all parts of the UK!
Gags has mentioned that I usually post the threads at the weekend. That has been the case to date but for a while at least things will be up in the air. My time is needed elsewhere so I cannot guarantee to be able to post in advance of racing. If Gags isn't available then it just means the only people to receive the selections in advance of racing will be those on the lists. There's nothing I can do about that, family must come first.
Finally, it's been a good couple of weeks, let's hope we can keep the run going.
Cheers
Mick
Great selection there, guys. Keep up the good work.
Regards,
Jason
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