There is one bet for us so far today.
8.25 Newbury - 2PT Win Bell Island (available at 6/1 with Corals and Sporting Bet,11/2 with Stan James and VC Bet, 5/1 generally)
There is a tremendous amount of racing today and you have got a bit of everything, however our bet runs in one of the last races of the day. We were drawn to the race as the favourite, Murcar, looks extremely short on what it has achieved on the track so far. Yes it is relatively unexposed and represents a stable who are flying this season (23%) however it is hard to see why it should be a shorter price than one of todays rivals, Mista Rossa, on a piece of form at Kempton in April. The application of blinkers looks significant but the sires progeny have a very poor record wearing blinkers (1-35) and this is definitely off-putting.
Our selection comes from a yard that is in good form at present and Richard Hughes is 2 from 3 for the stable at todays course. The horse has won twice on the AW at this trip and is still fairly treated off a mark of just 2lbs higher and seems to have improved for the application of a visor. The times of the races were good and it will like the good/firm ground conditions and looks as though it should go close. Of the others, you have to give Mista Rossa a shout, the favourite has chances but is far too short, Agente Romano has a chance but we're not sure that the trip will suit, Seedless and Kasban are unexposed but will need to bring massively improved efforts to the table today, Thorny Mandate could run into a place but doesn't look good enough to win and the rest offer little in the way of form or promise to recommend them today.
Overall we make the selection a 3/1 chance and at odds up to twice those available it warrants a decent win bet today. We toyed with going each way but felt that there were sufficient reasons for not getting involved and are happy to go for the outright win.
There is a possibility of further bets and if we have anything they will be sent out later on as usual.
All the best
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment