Wednesday 27 May 2009

Beverley Or Rome?

The racing at Beverley or the footie in Rome, either way it looks like compelling viewing.

We like one horse running this evening but we are not going to get the minimum price we require in order to play. That old chestnut "value" is conspicuous by its absence! For us to have a bet a horse must have a real live chance, more likely be our idea of the most likely winner and be available at a price at least 25% greater than the price we think it should be. Whilst I'm talking about value I would make a couple of points. Many people think short priced horses offer no value but quite often they are wrong. If a horse should be odds on and you can back it at 2/1 against then you have value. We don't get involved with too many of these types, the average price of our winners is around 6/1, but sometimes they can offer exceptional value. Which would you rather back, a 5/1 shot in a really competitive 12 runner handicap where very few can really be discounted, or a 5/2 shot in a race where only two or three have any real chance and you think yours is the clear form pick? Anyway, getting back to this evening there's no bet for us so we'll wait and see what tomorrow serves up.

Good luck if you do play tonight.

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