We've had a decent couple of days and it's been nice to find a couple of winners for the account. I'm hoping that we can continue the recent run with one account selection today:
3.00 Carlisle - Rowan Lodge 1pt ew (available at 4/1 with Bet365, Skybet, Betfred & WH, although 9/2 was available when the texts were sent out and the phone line updated)
Rowan Lodge has a great record in these types of races and goes particularly well at Carlisle with a record of 3 wins and a 4th from just 4 starts. The jockey has been successful on him 5 times and clearly they are a force to be reckoned with at this venue in claiming grade. On official figures the horse has a bit to find with a couple of todays rivals but these official marks can be flattering and I would prefer to back a horse which you know is running consistently to its current mark than chance something which has run nowhere near to its official rating of late.
Todays favourite is Hiccups and it tries 8f for the first time in a career that spans 65 starts. I can't say it won't get the trip but the sire stats are 0-23 over a mile which hardly inspires confidence! It has been doing most of its running around sharp left hand turning tracks such as Thirsk and Catterick and todays test will be a completely different kettle of fish. It can't be discounted as it is very well in with the selection on official ratings however I'm happy to take this horse on today. A bigger danger may be Karl Burkes runner, Moody Tunes, who comes here off the back of a decent run yesterday at Newcastle. It loves cut in the ground and is one of the higher rated in the field but I prefer Rowan Lodge over this C & D today.
A case could be made for the Swinbank runner, Ozone Trustee, however it has a bit to find with Moody Tunes on yesterdays running and happy to take it on.
Of the rest only Portrush Storm makes any appeal and whilst this could be in the shake up (booking of Seb Sanders is quite eyecatching) it would have to improve markedly on what it has been showing of late.
Overall I thought Rowan Lodge was a decent bet to make the frame at least and I make it the most likely winner.
Elsewhere there is a decent card at Ascot and I will be having a few quid on Storyland in the 4.35 race. This is a horse I have been keeping tabs on and todays race looks tailor made for a big run. The race is highly competitive however and that prevents me from putting it up as an account bet.
All the best
Gags
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