Thursday 2 July 2009

A Busy Thursday

A busy day with plenty of decent racing on but unfortunately non-runners are playing havoc with the shape and terms on offer in some races.

We concentrated our efforts this afternoon on Haydock's card where we will be trading a couple but we have decided against putting them up as full account bets. The two races of interest are the 310 and 440.

In the 310 we cannot understand why SEA ROVER is still available at 33/1 with Stan James. This horse has form with one of the market leaders, is significantly better off at the weights for a 2 length defeat, has a record of 1 win and 2 places from 6 runs over the distance and clearly loves fast ground. Sea Rover has a decent jockey on board today and we think he could have a big chance if reverting back to a prominent running style with conditions to suit. The trainer's recent form is not great but his overall form at this venue adds to confidence that the horse could be set to run a big race. Of course there is a doubt about whether today is the day, but we think he could run a huge race and trade at a lot shorter than 33/1, allowing us to enjoy a free bet at the least. That's the plan anyway!

The last on the card looks set up for HAWRIDGE KING and TRIP THE LIGHT to run well and our preference would be for the first named who looks well treated for a return to optimum conditions with a positive jockey booking. We have two small concerns with regards to this race, firstly we've missed the boat as far as the really nice prices are concerned and secondly there are currently 8 set to go to post. Obviously one more non-runner would screw up the each way terms if not ensuring a further shortening of the horses price. Hawridge King is, though, our idea of the most likely winner.

We will be having a look at this evening's cards and any bets will be sent out and put on the message by about 6.30pm.

Good luck if you are betting this afternoon.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

cracking tips lads, hope you filled your boots.

Nick

Anonymous said...

Great tipping re Sea Rover. Had it at 26 on Betfair. No free bet for me.
Keep up the good work!

Anakin Dogwalker