Friday, 26 June 2009

Friday 26th June

Three bets today and some views on other races we've had a look at as well. First of all the bets we've placed.

445 Folkestone SAND REPEAL 1 point eachway at 4/1 (bet placed with Paddy Power, BOG)

825 Newcastle HANDSOME FALCON 1 point eachway at 3/1 (bet placed with Paddy Power, BOG)

and a 1 point eachway double at 4/1 and 3/1 (bet placed with Paddy Power, BOG)


Sand Repeal is today running off a winning mark and is a previous course and distance scorer. Three runs back Sand Repeal went well over course and distance and wasn't beaten that far in a race which has produced the winners in four subsequent races. Conditions today should be ideal, the jockey booking is a positive, and we believe Sand Repeal is set to run a big race. Of his rivals Dazzling Begum is 0/9 at the distance, Generous Lad looks well handicapped but is 1/20 at the distance and 1/21 on turf, Good Effect is 0/10 at the distance, 1/15 on turf and 0/5 on a good to firm surface, Karmei is not good enough, Linby hasn't had a run this season, Mid Valley is 1/18 at the distance and 1/14 on turf and Phoenix Hill doesn't look good enough. You have to respect the connections of Pinnacle Point and Rough Sketch but Sand Repeal is our idea of the most likely winner.

This evening at Newcastle our second bet runs in a race where three horses were of initial interest. Rightly or wrongly the three we concentrated on in this race were Minority Report, Orpen Wide and of course the selection Handsome Falcon. Orpen Wide is 2/3 at the course and conditions would seem ideal for him, but he is running off a career high winning mark and at 7 years of age we think he could probably do with some respite from the handicapper. Minority Report is without doubt well handicapped and if in the mood with a first-time visor fitted he could easily win this race, but we think the most likely winner is Handsome Falcon.

There were a few other races we looked at and whilst we may trade one or two of these we decided against further proper bets.

In the 325 at Doncaster we would take two against the field, Tiger Dream 11/2 and Oh So Saucy 8/1.
The 640 at Chester is a tough looking handicap with two non-runners leaving 15 to go to post, but Glenridding 9/2, Zabeel Tower 12/1 and H Harrison 16/1 are the three we'd want to keep on our side if getting involved.
In the 840 at Newmarket an old friend (lol) tries again. If running up to anywhere near his best Wiggy Smith would be massive at this morning's 12/1.
Finally we felt Brassini, short at 2/1, looked to have everything in his favour in the 850 at Chester. Just too short for us.

So there you have it, our thoughts on the day and our bets as placed this morning. Good luck if you get involved.

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