A Busy Day.......

There are 3 bets for us today:

3PT WIN - 3.50 SANDOWN - SIR ISAAC (available at 11/2 with Lads, Corals, Hills, Skybet, Betfred & Stan James)
2PT WIN - 8.00 GOODWOOD - LECEILE (available at 9/2 Lads, 4/1 generally) - Withdrawn before race
1PT EW DOUBLE ON BOTH

Today is obviously a very significant day for us and we believe that we have found two horses which have massive chances and we are very keen on them both.

We backed Sir Isaac last time out and after missing the break it was left stone last. Milzcarek opted to try and come up the stands rail and after travelling strongly she was caught in behind horses about 2F out and basically had nowehere to go. Once the gap appeared the horse stayed on nicely without ever really being asked any questions and can definitely be rated better than the literal form. Today it is stepped up another furlong which we believe will help (certainly the breeding suggests it will) and the slightly easier ground should also not be any inconvenience. The sire has a fantastic record with his siblings at this course and the Haggas/Milzcarek combination have a strike rate of over 42% when teaming up together. The selection looks to be a better animal than its current mark and we think this could be rated much higher in the future.

Of its rivals there are obvioiusly one or two potential improvers and chances can be given to Laudatory and Pride of Kings but we feel that these are closer to their true marks than the selection today. The Dunlop runner looks badly handicapped on what it has achieved so far and looks one to oppose at the prices. All in all we would be very disappointed if Sir Isaac doesn't go close today and with a clear run should take all the beating.

The other selection today, Leceile, pipped one of our account bets by the minimum distance last time out when winning a soft ground maiden at Newcastle. The final result doesn't really do Leceile any justice as she had the race won some way out that day and just got tired in the closing stages. That was only her 3rd appearance and foillowed a couple of decent efforts on the AW in races which have thrown any number of winners up since. If you compare the selection with todays favourite, Just Like Silk, on a line with Fortuni, our selection should have the measure of this comfortably and with the Haggas/Milzcarek combination 2 from 2 here and decent sire and trainer stats to boot we think she could be leniently treated off a mark of 75.

Eastern Aria has been doing most of her running on the AW and doesn't appear to be overly well handicapped on form to date, Advisor was well beaten over a furlong less here last time and doesn't appear to be crying out for a longer trip, Hambledon Hill needs to improve but has run one or two fairly encouraging races, Red Suede Shoes makes his turf debut but has proved that it gets the trip at least and the others look as though they need to show improved form to figure here today. We are very sweet on the chances of Leceile and are surprised that she is not favourite today.

All the best