Drawn into a bet........

There is one bet for us today so far:

1PT WIN - 3.40 HAYDOCK - CALLIGRAPHER (available at 8/1 with Blue Square, 15/2 Corals and 7/1 generally including BOG bookies)

Todays selection is overpriced in our opinion and there are good reasons to believe that this could run a big race today. It has only had 4 career starts, running down the field on debut before winning a 6F Pontefract maiden. It was then pitched into a conditions race at Lingfield where it was sent off at odds on but finished a well beaten 4th of 5. We believe that the horse was ill at ease around the tight turns of Lingfield and whilst its breeding suggests that it should have had no problem with the all weather surface it may be a case that this is better on the turf. This season it has had one run, a pipeopener in a very decent Class 2 handicap at Newmarket where it ran well for a long way before fading and finishing 13th of 14. The winner of the Lingfield race and subsequent 5th in the Newmarket race, Global City, reopposes today and strictly on weights and measures this should beat our selection. This is currently trading at around 11/4 favourite and with a run under its belt and at a track where the trainer and jockey have an excellent record we believe that at 7/1 or bigger Calligrapher is overpriced. The other thing worth considering is the form of the Jarvis stable as when it made its reappearance the stable were not enjoying a particularly good spell but there have been signs of late that they are hitting form again and this can only be a good thing for the chances today. Robinson also goes there for this ride before shooting off to Kempton to ride a couple later on.

White Shift is a filly that was highly tried as a 2 year old and after running creditably in some of the top filly races she flattened off and was struggling to cope with the handicap mark she achieved. So much so in fact that she contested a claiming race at Bath which she duly won with any amount in hand. Since then she has followed up in a Class 4 handicap at Newmarket before running 2nd last time out however she is now 7lbs above her last winning mark and its possible that the handicapper has caught up with her.

Wedding List represents the high flying William Haggas yard and anything he sends out has to merit respect. Wedding List is beautifully bred and has only had the 3 runs to date but on closer inspection of her form a mark of 84 hardly seems generous. After being well beaten in a maiden at Yarmouth she then finished 2nd at Great Leighs befiore winning her final start very cosily. She had the run of the race that day and nothing that finished behind has come out and franked the form. The form of her 2nd has not been advertised either and we think she will have had to improve significantly to take this.

Parisian Art comes from a big stable who are capable or readying one first time out but a debut maiden win has seen this one achieve a mark in the mid 90's and whilst the handicapper has given it some relief we think it may need to drop a little more before it wins races like this.

Spiritofthewest has won a soft ground maiden over 5f at Beverley and ran some fair races in defeat since, although it does need to prove that it gets 6F and has had enough chances to do so.

Diggeratt will probably prefer the faster ground today than on its seasonal reappearance but it needs to step up a bit on last years form as the races it was competing in were much weaker than todays. The jockey booking would not inspire confidence either but I suppose the price of 25/1 reflects this.

Desert Falls is one which could run better than its odds suggest. There is a line of form from earlier in the season that gives it the beating of White Shift and you can probably put a line through its last run at Chester when it was badly hampered and any chance went. The trainer has come into a bit of form in the last week or so and at prices of 16/1 and bigger this could run a decent race.

Overall we believe that Calligrapher is a better horse than it has shown on its latest starts and at the prices today merits a minmum stakes win bet.

There are some horses of interest later this evening and if we feel that they are worthy of a bet an email will be sent out later on.

Good Luck